Theoretical versus Experimental Probability

Theoretical versus Experimental Probability

Grade 11th Grade · Math · 45 min· Understanding The Difference Between Theoretical And Experimental Probability

What's Included

Learning Objective

I can compare and contrast theoretical and experimental probability to predict outcomes.

Warm-Up Video

Khan Academy · 4:56

Experimental versus theoretical probability simulation | Probability | AP Statistics | Khan Academy

Guided Notes

3 key concepts

  • 1

    As we conduct more trials, experimental probability should get closer to theoretical probability.

  • 2

    The idea that experimental probability approaches theoretical probability with more trials is known as the law of large numbers.

  • 3

    With a small number of experiments, experimental probability can be very different from theoretical probability, but this difference decreases with more experiments.

Practice Questions

10 questions · Multiple choice & Short answer

Exit Ticket

Quick comprehension check

Describe a situation where the experimental probability of an event differs significantly from the theoretical probability. Explain how conducting more trials would likely affect the experimental probability in relation to the theoretical probability.

Complete Lesson Package

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Theoretical Versus Experimental Probability Lesson Plan for Grade 11th Grade | Free Math Lesson