Theoretical versus Experimental Probability

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Objective

I can compare and contrast theoretical and experimental probability to predict outcomes.

Part 1 of 4

Warm-up video

Khan Academy · 4:56Vetted channel

We don't generate video — this one is by Khan Academy on YouTube. The practice questions and exit ticket below were drafted by AI for this objective, and every question is editable in the teacher guide.

Part 2 of 4

Key concepts

3 concepts

  1. 1

    As we conduct more trials, experimental probability should get closer to theoretical probability.

  2. 2

    The idea that experimental probability approaches theoretical probability with more trials is known as the law of large numbers.

  3. 3

    With a small number of experiments, experimental probability can be very different from theoretical probability, but this difference decreases with more experiments.

Part 3 of 4

Practice

10 questions

1

Define theoretical probability and experimental probability in your own words.

2

According to the video, what happens to the difference between experimental and theoretical probability as the number of trials increases?

Part 4 of 4

Exit ticket

Quick comprehension check

Describe a situation where the experimental probability of an event differs significantly from the theoretical probability. Explain how conducting more trials would likely affect the experimental probability in relation to the theoretical probability.

Sample answer included in the free materials

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